ARK Invest Sees Sports Betting Swelling to $330 Billion in 2027
Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management is bullish on the future of US and Canadian River sports wagering, forecasting monumental growth for the industry over the next pentad years.
In the asset manager’s 2023 “Big Ideas” report, ARK estimates that mobile/online sports wagering inward the US and Canada will grow at a charge per unit of 27% annually, inwards real terms, o'er the next Little Phoebe years.
In the world-class NFL time of year without COVID-19 protocols, tot up sports betting inward the US and Canada increased an estimated 83% year-over-year to ~$117 1000000000 inward 2022. As a percent of tot sports betting volume, online has soared from 17% inward 2018 to 86% in 2022. Based on ARK’s research, online sports betting inwards the US and Canada is likely to produce 27% inward real terms at an yearly rate during the next quintet years, from ~$100 billion inward 2022 to ~$330 billion inwards 2027,” according to the change traded funds (ETFs) issuer.
In states that reserve it, mobile betting oftentimes accounts for fill up to or more than ennead of every 10 sports wagers placed. Still, ARK forecasts prominent ontogenesis for retail sportsbooks, estimating those venues’ volumes will acquire at an 11% one-year gait o'er the next quintuplet years, reaching $27 one thousand million in 2027.
ARK Forecast Ambitious to Say the Least
There are some factors that should follow noted when evaluating ARK’s sports wagering forecast. First, its inclusion of Canada appears to focal point solely on Ontario. That makes sense, because that’s the country’s largest province and the 1 with the to the highest degree liberalized sports betting market. In the future, if other provinces re-create the Ontario model, the outlook could exchange to the upside.
Second, ARK’s projections appertain to handle, not revenue, though the fund issuer uses the term “volume.” In sports betting, palm is the amount wagered, but revenue is calculated after all bets are settled.
Finally, it must be noted ARK doesn’t refer any states by name. But it’s non a stretchiness to seize a to a greater extent than tripling of electric current US/Canada hold in just now v years factors in some compounding of California, Texas, and Florida approving nomadic sports wagering, or perhaps all leash doing so.
Because of compacts with tribal gaming entities that pass up to compete with out-of-state sportsbook operators, the roads to wandering betting inwards Golden State and Florida are fraught with letdown and thorny political issues. There’s budding impulse in Texas, the second-largest state. But the come out faces an uphill combat there, too.
ARK Talking Its Book
Naysayers may live clever to say ARK’s enthusiastic sports wagering outlook is born come out of the fact the plus manager is talking its book.
Pessimistic as that sounds, it’s not inaccurate. The unshakable is I of the largest institutional investors inward DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG), as it holds that buy in crossways troika of its ETFs, including the flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). It also holds shares of sports betting data provider Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) inwards the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKW).
ARK is bullish on the theme of digital leisure, which includes sports wagering, picture games, and more.
“Based on the reposition toward digital leisure and digital belongings rights, tangible digital revenue should farm 14% at an annual rate during the next octet years, from ~$2 trillion inward 2022 to $5 trillion inwards 2030,” added the fund issuer.
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