Data King Nate Silver Makes World Series of Poker Final Table
Political analyst and writer Nate Silver was a vibrissa aside from winning a World Series of Poker bangle on Lord's Day night.
The statistician has won celebrity and plaudits for predicting election outcomes. But ace outcome he failed to forecast was his opponent Saint John the Apostle Monnette’s striking comeback to clench the Limit Hold’em Championship.
Still, Silver took rest home $152,000 for secondly come in after holding the upper hand against Palmdale, Calif. pro Monnette for practically of heads-up play.
Monnette, a mixed-games specialist, won $245,680 and his fourth bracelet for besting the 92-player field.
Poker to Politics
Silver has built a media imperium on his aptitude for statistics, so it’s little wonder he can buoy rationalise it at the poker game table.
In fact, before he became a bountiful deal in political polling, he briefly earned a living playing online poker in the too soon 2000s. He was even out featured in a 2004 Chicago Tribune article examining the young phenomenon of online poker game players.
Still, the Michigan indigen had his act cut come out o'er the weekend at a WSOP last tabular array that included top side pros like Jason Somerville, Gospel According to John Racener, and Publius Terentius Afer Chan.
Around the clip Silver was attrition online stove poker tables almost 20 years ago, he also was underdeveloped PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm). This was a statistical system, love of fantasy baseball game players, that forecast the future tense carrying out of baseball game hitters and pitchers.
Next, he turned his attending to the political arena. Writing below the pseudonym “Poblano,” he launched the FiveThirtyEight blog. Silver was frustrated by the limitations of schematic analysts and sought-after(a) to moult unexampled illumination on government past analyzing its quantitative aspects for a wider audience.
In 2008, Silver predicted 49 outcomes of 50 states inwards the US presidential election. In 2012, he predicted all 50.
Nailing the 2008 election changed his life. After that came the book deals and TV appearances, and inwards 2009, he was named ace of the World’s Most Influential People by Time Magazine.
Silence and the Noise
His world-class book, 2012’s The Silence and the Noise – Why So Many Predictions Fail but Some Don’t was a New York Times best-seller. It examined how information and probability are used – and misused – inwards everything from forecasting mood modify to an economic downturn.
The Silence and the Noise also devoted a chapter to poker, and it appears that Silver is revisiting the spunky in a new rule book he’s writing which deals with the mindset of a successful gambler.
Silver told Card Player on Sunday his experiences at the WSOP have got proven to be worthful (and lucrative) research.
“I’ve met people same Jason Somerville, who I talked to inward my book, and at present I’ve played a clustering of tournaments with him inwards this finally week,” he said. “You let more ingrained inwards the community if you’re non just an outsider, but in reality a participant.”