DraftKings Hit With ‘Sell’ Rating Ahead of Q4 Earnings Report
DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) delivers its fourth-quarter earnings update next week, and i analyst is advising investors to read profits inwards the stock, which soared to starting line 2023.
In a annotation to clients Thursday, Philip Roth MKM analyst Duke of Windsor Engel lowered his rating on the sportsbook manipulator to “sell” from “neutral” with a $15 toll target. That’s to a lower place where the inventory resided entering Thursday’s trading session. The psychoanalyst noted I problem facing DraftKings is the be of rolling come out its offerings inward unexampled states.
During 4Q22 results, we look mgmt to signaling dissatisfactory 1Q23 Earnings Before Interest Taxes Depreciation and Amortization as unexampled nation launches require more up-front investiture than Street forecasts imply,” wrote Engel.
There may follow something to the analyst’s thesis regarding say debuts. Mobile sports wagering late went live, or will before long perform so, inward Maryland, Massachusetts, and Buckeye State — apiece of which is expected to experience a stuff wallop on topline ontogenesis for major sportsbook operators, such as DraftKings.
DraftKings Profitability Narrative Could Be Pinched
Entering this year, expectations were inward come out that DraftKings would turn profitable or gaolbreak even on the base of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) inwards the 4th quarter. However, some analysts estimated it could befall sooner.
That’s likely I conclude the gillyflower is up almost 47% twelvemonth to date, and the accompany is taking steps to rein in inwards costs, including the recent announcement of 140 layoffs. Rivals such as Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, and Caesars Sportsbook, either reaching or forecasting ends to their money-losing ways, are further pressuring DraftKings to demo investors it’s on the same track.
Roth MKM’s Engel pointed out that DraftKings’ scorching live feed to embark on 2023 underscores the potential fragility of the stock entering next week’s earnings report. That’s particularly if that update disappoints securities industry participants.
“We expect 1H23E EBITDA losses greater than consensus and [to] scale down investor sentence inward DKNG’s profitability narrative,” added the analyst.
Fanatics Could Be a Problem for DraftKings, Rivals
One of the primary feather reasons sportsbook operators are realizing profitability, or are getting closer to that status, is that the manufacture grew to a greater extent selective most outlay marketing and promotional dollars.
However, some analysts are interested that the new-found focussing on costs could live neutered for the worse with the accounting entry of unexampled competitors into the space, videlicet Fanatics. Fanatics is lurking, latterly entering the US sports betting scene of action and stoking venture of a promotional disbursement state of war inward the process.
We look Fanatics to launch online sports betting past 1Q23 and reinvigorate concerns o'er an intensifying promotional environment,” according to Engel.
On the upside, province set in motion costs for DraftKings and rivals could follow contained as 2023 moves forward. That’s because only North Carolina and Green Mountain State are potential to okay peregrine sports wagering this year.
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